U.S. stocks erased earlier gains to close lower Wednesday after the
Federal Reserve released the minutes from its March meeting.
The Dow Jones industrial average closed about 40 points lower, with
Goldman Sachs contributing the most losses. The 30-stock index had
traded nearly 200 points higher earlier in the session.
The S&P 500 dropped 0.3 percent, wit financials lagging. The Nasdaq
composite slipped 0.6 percent after hitting a new all- time high
earlier in the session.
The Dow and S&P also posted their biggest one-day reversal since February 2016.
The minutes showed Fed officials want to start unwinding the central
bank's massive $4.5 trillion balance sheet later this year.
"I think the biggest surprise is the amount of optionality they
included," said Matt Toms, chief investment officer of fixed income at
Voya Investment Management.
"They said they could be a more active Fed, which means the short end
of the curve could be biased higher."
"On the balance sheet, they're talking about addressing both the
mortgage and Treasury components. The market had expected them to
address the mortgage component," he said.
Dow intraday chart
Source: FactSet
Unwinding the balance sheet is significant both because of its sheer
size and the impact it could have on markets, as Fed members including
Chair Janet Yellen have indicated that the move itself would amount to
a rate hike.
"At some point, they have to lower it, but I don't think we'll ever
see it back below $1 trillion," said Myles Clouston, senior director
at Nasdaq Advisory Services.
He also noted that some Fed officials had hinted earlier at lowering
the balance sheet, "so this shouldn't be a surprise for investors."
The minutes also showed the central bank was concerned the stock
market may be overvalued.
Investors also digested remarks from House Speaker Paul Ryan, in which
he said that tax reform will take longer to accomplish than repealing
and replacing Obamacare would.
"Right now, you have two pieces of news that shouldn't really surprise
us but bringing down the market," said Art Hogan, chief market
strategist at Wunderlich Securities. "Literally every Fed speaker has
been talking about lowering the balance sheet."
The possibility of tax reform has been one of the main drivers in the
stock market's massive postelection rally, along with deregulation and
infrastructure spending.
"On the tax reform side, ... it's going to be difficult, no question,"
said Eric Stein, co-director of global income at Eaton Vance.
"But financial markets should be forward looking mechanisms, so if
something takes longer to happen, it shouldn't mean you" completely
change your investment strategy.
The U.S. 10-year note yield traded lower, near 2.333 percent, after
hitting 2.38 percent earlier in the session. On the data front,
private payrolls rose by 263,000 last month, well above a consensus
estimate of 185,000. The February number was revised significantly
lower, however, from the originally reported 298,000.
"The ADP report really seemed to contradict some of the negative bias
in the market," said Eric Wiegand, senior portfolio manager at the
Private Client Reserve at U.S. Bank. He noted some market participants
were worried that last month's weather could have had an adverse
impact on hiring.
The report serves as a preamble for the Bureau of Labor Statistics'
monthly employment report, which will be released Friday at 8:30 a.m.
ET.
"We're probably going to get a much better-than-expected nonfarm
payrolls report on Friday," said Randy Frederick, vice president of
trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab. The U.S. economy is
expected to have added around 180,000 jobs in March, according to a
Reuters estimate.
Other data released Wednesday the Institute for Supply Management
non-manufacturing index which came in at 55.2, below an expected read
if 57.
The dollar fell 0.1 percent against a basket of major currencies, with
the euro near $1.067 and the yen around 110.6.
In corporate news, JAB announced Wednesday it will buy Panera bread
for $315 per share, or around $7.5 billion. The announcement sent
Panera's stock flying more than 14 percent higher.
Overseas, European equities traded mostly higher while Asian equities
also rose as investors turned their eyes to President Donald Trump's
meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Schwab's Frederick said the two-day meeting in Mar-a-Lago will be "the
wildcard" this week. He said he expects the meeting to go well, noting
Trump has been cordial with other world leaders that have visited the
country recently.
"It would surprise me very much if he acts though in person [with Xi].
He doesn't seem like he does that," Frederick said.
The Dow Jones industrial average (Dow Jones Global Indexes: .DJI) fell
41.09 points, or 0.2 percent, to close at 20,648.15, with JPMorgan
Chase leading decliners and McDonald's the top advancer.
The S&P 500 (INDEX: .SPX) slipped 7.31 points, or 0.31 percent, to end
at 2,352.95, with financials leading nine sectors lower and utilities
and real estate outperforming.
The Nasdaq (NASDAQ: .IXIC) dropped 34.13 points, or 0.58 percent, to
close at 5,964.48.
About two stocks declined for every advancer at the New York Stock
Exchange, with an exchange volume of 942.28 million and a composite
volume of 3.760 billion at the close.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) (STOXX: .VIX), widely considered the
best gauge of fear in the market, traded near 12.85.
—CNBC's Jeff Cox and Reuters contributed to this report.
Correction: Naeem Aslam works at Think Markets. A previous version
misstated the firm's name.
On tap this week:
Wednesday
2:00 p.m. Fed minutes
Thursday
8:30 a.m. Jobless claims
Friday
8:30 a.m. Employment report
10:00 a.m. Wholesale trade
12:15 p.m. New York Fed's Dudley speaks
on financial regulation
3:00 p.m. Consumer credit
0 Comments